What Happens If Russia Loses The War In Syria?

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Jan 9th 2016, 19:00

Vladimir Putin and members of Russian Security Council© Mikhail Klimentyev/Russian presidential press service/TASS

Dominic Tierney, Defense One/The Atlantic: What Happens If Russia Loses in Syria?

Putin's war could be unraveling.

Last September, Russia deployed dozens of jets to Syria to rescue the ailing regime of Bashar al-Assad. Vladimir Putin aimed to protect one of Moscow's few foreign allies and gain leverage for the coming peace negotiations over the Syrian Civil War. Russian media presented the mission as a heroic attempt to save the civilized world from Islamic terrorism. In Washington, however, Putin was widely seen as wading into a quagmire. According to The Economist: "If America's Syria-watchers agree on anything it is that the Russian campaign, which has enabled Mr Assad's forces to make only minor gains, will fail, and thereby encourage Russia to give up on its proxy. That would be a huge boost to the UN-backed peace talks John Kerry, the secretary of state, is brokering, with the aim of replacing Mr Assad with a transitional government early next year."

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WNU Editor: This is a topic that is never discussed in Moscow. And while there is a realization in Russia that there is a very real possibility that Syrian President Assad may be removed from power and that Syria may fracture (like Lebanon) into different parts .... a complete and utter defeat of the Syrian regime is not being predicted. But in the event that everything does go to hell, and the Russians are forced to flee from Syria .... a part of me has doubts that there will be any long term repercussions (politically speaking for Russian President Putin) from such a defeat. Everyone that I know in Russia has accepted the idea that Syria is a "basket-case", and it will be a country that will not see peace for years (if ever). So why the involvement? When I ask that question to my Russian friends and family, they all tell me the same thing .... to assist an ally but this is still a fight that rests in the hands of the Syrian people itself .... not Russia's. That is why I believe that as long as Russian casualties are light .... and the costs low .... coupled with Russian President Putin being honest about Russia's mission in Syria .... the Russian public is going to support the mission .... even if things go wrong. But if Putin should decide to up Russia's involvement without adequately explaining why to the Russian public .... and the casualties start to pour in .... the public sentiment will change, and change quickly.

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What Happens If Russia Loses The War In Syria?

NOW THE NEWS IN FULL.....

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